Earthquake Predictions 2021

Posted December 31, 2020

Based on a new earthquake model (work is still in progress) the earthquake(s) of magnitude 6.9 or higher, if occur, are likely to occur on the following dates and time.  Please note that these hourly predictions for the month of January 2021 are provided below and for the rest of the year predictions will be added by the end of February 2021 when the model is expected to be developed with a reasonable degree of confidence. Please note that these dates and time refer to the Universal time (GMT).

 

January 2021

Probability Date and Time (GMT) Duration, hours
High January 12,   4:00 -- 8:00 4
Medium January 1,  0:00 - Jan 2,  0:00 24
January 6,  0:00 - 9:00 9
January 9,  12:00 - Jan 10,  2:00 14
January 12,  9:00 - 12:00 3
January 15,  10:00 - Jan 16,  4:00 18
January 18,  20:00 - Jan 19,  7:00 11
Low January 2, 00:00 - Jan 5,  23:00 96
January 6, 10:00 - Jan 9, 11:00 73
January 10,  3:00 - Jan 12, 3:00 48

January 12,  13:00 - Jan 15, 9:00

68
January 16,  5:00 - Jan 18, 19:00 62
January 21,  12:00 - 22:00 10
January 24,   9:00 - 12:00 3
January 26,  11:00 - 21:00 10
January 27,  4:00 - 23:00 19

Total hours out of 744 hours

472 Hours

 

 

Date Posted: January 31, 2021

There were two earthquakes of magnitude 6.9 and higher in February.  The February 21st  occurred during the predicted date and time. (February 21,  12:00 - 22:00) and the February 23rd did not.

January 21:   Region: Philippine Islands region, Geographic coordinates: 5.007N, 127.517E, Magnitude: 7.0, Universal Time (UTC): 21 Jan 2021  12:23:06, Time near the Epicenter: 21 Jan 2021  21:23:06

January 23:  Region: South Shetland Islands, Geographic coordinates: 61.848S,  55.559W, Magnitude: 6.9, Universal Time (UTC): 23 Jan 2021  23:36:51 Time near the Epicenter: 23 Jan 2021  19:36:51

February 2021 

Based on a new earthquake model (work is still in progress) the earthquake(s) of magnitude 6.9 or higher, if occur, are likely to occur on the following dates and time. Please note that these hourly predictions for the month of February 2021 are provided below and for the rest of the year predictions are scheduled to be added by the end of February 2021 when the model is expected to be developed with a reasonable degree of confidence. Please note that these dates and time refer to the Universal time (GMT).

Probability Date and Time (GMT) Duration, hours
High February 2,   11:00 -- 18:00 8
February 11,  1:00 - Feb 12, 19:00  39
Medium February 2,  7:00 - 10:00 4
February 2,  19:00 - Feb 3, 5:00 11
February 5,  17:00 - 20:00 4
February 8,  10:00 - 21:00 12
February 10,  19:00 - Feb 11,  4:00 10
February 12,  20:00 - Feb 13,  15:00 20
Low February 1, 0:00 - Feb 2,  6:00 31
February 3, 6:00 - Feb 4, 4:00 23
February 4,  5:00 - Feb 5, 16:00 39

February 5,  21:00 - Feb 8, 9:00

60
February 8,  22:00 - Feb 10, 18:00 44
February 13,  16:00 - Feb 14, 12:00 19
February 14,   23:00 - Feb 16, 10:00 36
February 28,  20:00 - 23:00 4

Total hours out of 672 hours

364 Hours